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Evidence · Preprints · continued

Tracking a preprint to publication: a worked example posts 121–148

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

J
JFitzgibbonTL2Member12 Dec 2025#121

Building on post #118 rather than restating it.

Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier.

That is where I would start, not where I would stop.

13 likes 8mo
NN
n.nakamuraTL212 Dec 2025#122
m.ndiaye, post #67: Post #65 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it. Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier. The confident version of this sentence would be wrong,… Go to post

Post #120 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it.

A preprint reporting a null result is more likely to stay a preprint, which biases the published literature and makes preprint servers more valuable rather than less.

28 likes in reply to #67 8mo
GH
g.haalandTL3Regular12 Dec 2025#123

Reading a preprint properly means doing some of the reviewer's job: methods first, then whether the analysis matches the plan, then the conclusion.

I am aware this is the third time this month I have made this point.

0 likes 8mo
SB
s.beaulieuTL212 Dec 2025#124

Useful. I have added it to my own notes with the date on it.

5 likes 8mo
SD
s.duarteTL212 Dec 2025#125
VB
v.bhattacharyaTL212 Dec 2025#126
Leiterman, post #56: Offering a way to settle tracking a preprint rather than another opinion about it. Two measurements, taken the same way, a fortnight apart. If the difference is within the noise, the question was not answerable at this precision. Go to post

Post #123 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction.

Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight.

Filing this under things that are true until someone shows me otherwise.

0 likes in reply to #56 8mo
AS
a.salcedoTL3Regular12 Dec 2025#127

Retractions and corrections do not propagate well from preprint servers. A citation that was fine when made can quietly become wrong.

2 likes 7mo
AS
a.sorensenTL213 Dec 2025#128

Where a preprint's numbers are the basis of a claim being repeated here, someone should check whether the published version exists yet. That check is nearly always overdue.

Noting that I have skin in this question and have tried to discount for it.

8 likes 7mo
BP
bench_peakTL3Regular13 Dec 2025#129

Always label it as a preprint in any discussion. A preprint is not a published trial and it is not settled knowledge. Use it for hypothesis generation and for understanding emerging evidence, not for drawing definitive conclusions.

5 likes 7mo
SO
s.oyelaranTL213 Dec 2025#130

An update on my earlier tracking a preprint post: the pattern held for another six weeks and then stopped, which I did not predict and cannot explain.

14 likes 7mo
DB
d.barrosTL213 Dec 2025#131

I had written a reply contradicting post #127 and deleted it. Here is what survived.

Server repositories: medRxiv for medicine, bioRxiv for biology. Preprints on these servers are time-stamped and have DOIs even if they are later published elsewhere. Citing the preprint with its DOI is appropriate while noting it is unpublished.

I would treat that as a working assumption and revisit it.

8 likes 7mo
MI
m.ivaturiTL213 Dec 2025#132

Confirming post #131 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person.

The bit of tracking a preprint that nobody enjoys is that the answer changes depending on what you are trying to decide with it. Say what the decision is and the thread will converge.

2 likes 7mo
CA
c.adebayoTL213 Dec 2025#133
a.frisk, post #99: Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier. It is a small point and it changes the answer, which is an awkward combination. Go to post

Reframing tracking a preprint slightly, because I think the disagreement is about the question rather than the answer. If the question is "does it happen", yes. If it is "how often", nobody here knows.

0 likes in reply to #99 7mo
HK
h.karlsenTL213 Dec 2025 · edited#134
outline_first, post #70: If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update. Go to post

Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised.

19 likes in reply to #70 7mo
SF
s.ferreiraTL213 Dec 2025#135

No notes. Posting so the count is not one.

4 likes 7mo
CN
c.niemelTL3Regular13 Dec 2025#136

Post #134 is the version of this I will quote in future. One addition.

If you are new and reading this thread for the answer to tracking a preprint: the answer is conditional, the conditions are in the third reply, and the rest of the thread is worth skipping.

0 likes 7mo
NV
n.vogelTL213 Dec 2025#137

How to cite a preprint: author last name, first initial, et al. Title. Server name [preprint]. Posted date. Doi. Include the server name and note that it is a preprint.

The honest answer is that it depends, and here is what it depends on.

27 likes 7mo
OC
o.cousineauTL3Regular13 Dec 2025#138
BBramley, post #58: Nothing to add, except that this is the answer I would give if asked. Go to post

Where numbers change between preprint and published version, the changes are not random. They tend toward a smaller effect and a more carefully hedged claim.

13 likes in reply to #58 7mo
RC
r.chukwuTL214 Dec 2025 · edited#139

Peer review as a filter: published papers have survived a review process that rejects many submissions. Preprints have not. Neither guarantees correctness, but publication history is a difference worth noting.

I keep a log of this specifically because memory is unreliable about it.

18 likes 7mo
T
TavaresTL1Member14 Dec 2025#140

Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised.

7 likes 7mo
RJ
r.jhannsdttirTL3Regular14 Dec 2025#141

Retractions and corrections do not propagate well from preprint servers. A citation that was fine when made can quietly become wrong.

10 likes 7mo
AV
a.vermeulenTL214 Dec 2025#142
r.molnar, post #41: Everything in post #39 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have. Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight. Speaking for myself and not for anyone else who has posted here. Go to post

Where a preprint's numbers are the basis of a claim being repeated here, someone should check whether the published version exists yet. That check is nearly always overdue.

23 likes in reply to #41 7mo
TK
t.kulkarniTL3Regular14 Dec 2025 · edited#143

What I would want before treating tracking a preprint as settled: the method, the sample, and whether anyone tried to find the opposite result. Two of the three are usually missing.

0 likes 7mo
GO
g.oyelaranTL214 Dec 2025#144

I read post #142 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight.

Stating my assumptions rather than smuggling them in.

1 like 7mo
HA
h.almeidaTL2Member14 Dec 2025#145

Noted, and I have changed what I was going to do on the strength of it.

6 likes 7mo
JP
j.palaciosTL214 Dec 2025#146
BBramley, post #58: Nothing to add, except that this is the answer I would give if asked. Go to post

Server repositories: medRxiv for medicine, bioRxiv for biology. Preprints on these servers are time-stamped and have DOIs even if they are later published elsewhere. Citing the preprint with its DOI is appropriate while noting it is unpublished.

Written quickly, so the reasoning may be tighter than the wording.

16 likes in reply to #58 7mo
B
BDraganovTL2Member14 Dec 2025#147
r.zielinski, post #106: Helpful, and short, which on this subject is harder than long. Go to post

Post #144 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

Always label it as a preprint in any discussion. A preprint is not a published trial and it is not settled knowledge. Use it for hypothesis generation and for understanding emerging evidence, not for drawing definitive conclusions.

I have written this out at length because the short version keeps being misread.

32 likes in reply to #106 7mo
HK
h.kimaniTL214 Dec 2025#148

Coming back to post #146, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

Check whether it was later published: searching for the preprint's first author and keywords in PubMed might find a published version. The published version is the stronger citation if it exists.

I would want the raw data before agreeing with my own summary of it.

0 likes 7mo

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