w.novak, post #2: Picking up the opening post: that is the part I would want checked first. Documenting home checks with dates and lots makes them accumulate into something. Undocumented ones evaporate and get remembered selectively. Flagging that the sources on this are thinner than the confidence in the thread suggests.
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Source for the quantitation figure, since it was asked for. It is in the discussion rather than the abstract, which is why the version circulating is stronger than the paper is.
Reading the surrounding paragraph is worth the two minutes. The authors are more careful than their summarisers.