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Outcomes · Progress reports · continued

A plateau that disappeared when I changed how I measured — the long version posts 31–55

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

IR
isotonic_reviewTL1Member26 Apr 2026 · edited#31

Reading rather than contributing, but this is the most useful thread I have found on it.

4 likes 3mo
KC
k.chukwuTL229 Apr 2026#32

A note on how plateau gets discussed rather than on plateau itself: the confident posts get the replies and the careful ones get ignored, and the careful ones have been right more often.

12 likes 3mo
ZL
z.laurentTL22 May 2026#33

This follows post #32 rather than contradicting it.

Maintenance series are the ones this subcategory needs most and receives least. The interesting questions all change once loss stops.

That has been true for the cases I have seen and I have not seen many.

0 likes 3mo
HE
h.eriksenTL24 May 2026#34
chromatogram, post #24: Building on post #23 rather than restating it. Where I have landed on plateau, having got it wrong once in public: the direction is clear, the magnitude is not, and anyone quoting a precise magnitude has borrowed it from somewhere that did not measure it. Go to post

A plateau over two weeks is usually measurement. A plateau over two months is usually energy balance. The timescale is what distinguishes them.

I have changed my mind on this once already, so take it as current rather than settled.

0 likes in reply to #24 3mo
L
LundqvistTL2Member7 May 2026#35

Reporting rather than recommending, on plateau. What happened is above. Whether it should have is a different question and not one I am qualified to answer.

7 likes 3mo
FL
f.laurentTL210 May 2026#36

Checked the plateau claim against the primary source this morning. It survives, with a narrower scope than the version quoted here. Posting the narrower scope.

18 likes 3mo
SE
septum_entryTL212 May 2026#37
KK
k.kimaniTL215 May 2026#38
m.adeyemi, post #23: Post #19 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it. Worth separating plateau as a question about the compound from plateau as a question about the documentation. They get answered by different people and only one of them is answerable here. Go to post

Post #36 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction.

If a pattern survives a rolling-mean treatment it is worth explaining. Most do not, and that is the useful finding.

On reflection I would soften that slightly.

1 like in reply to #23 2mo
TW
t.waldenstrmTL2Member18 May 2026#39
j.iyer, post #10: Adding the measurement that post #7 says would settle it. Nothing here is medical advice and a progress report is a description of what happened to one person under uncontrolled conditions. Go to post

The arithmetic in post #38 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

Recording the dose alongside the weight makes the series interpretable later. Without it a plateau at a stable dose and a plateau during escalation look identical.

Written from notes rather than memory, which is why the numbers are specific.

0 likes in reply to #10 2mo
SR
s.radichTL220 May 2026 · edited#40

Answering the question post #36 raises rather than the one it answers.

The most useful reply I ever got about plateau was a request to state my units. It sounds like pedantry and it has saved me twice.

4 likes 2mo
AC
a.coelhoTL223 May 2026#41

Grateful for the specificity. Vague answers to this question are what sent me looking.

0 likes 2mo
DM
d.magalhesTL2Member25 May 2026#42
k.kimani, post #38: Post #36 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction. If a pattern survives a rolling-mean treatment it is worth explaining. Most do not, and that is the useful finding. On reflection I would soften that slightly. Go to post

Plateau is a good example of a question where the honest answer is boring and the interesting answers are unsupported. I would go with boring.

0 likes in reply to #38 2mo
RM
ra.mensaTL228 May 2026#43

A single scale used throughout beats a more accurate scale introduced halfway through. Consistency beats accuracy for a trend.

20 likes 2mo
CW
cohort_watchTL230 May 2026#44
SO
sa.okonkwoTL22 Jun 2026 · edited#45

Worth separating two things that post #42 runs together.

Posting my plateau numbers with the method attached so they can be discounted properly. Uncontrolled, unblinded, and collected by someone who wanted a particular answer.

0 likes 2mo
JD
j.delacroixTL3Regular4 Jun 2026#46
septum_entry, post #37: Taking post #34 at face value and following it one step further. Seasonal patterns: some people report weight loss is slower in winter than summer. Body composition and activity changes might contribute. Noting the season is useful context. If that reads as pedantic, it is, and it has saved me twice. Go to post

This follows post #45 rather than contradicting it.

The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence.

The rule of thumb is fine; the edge cases are where it earns its keep.

29 likes in reply to #37 2mo
DY
d.yilmazTL27 Jun 2026#47

Careful with the language on plateau. "Not detected" and "not present" are different findings and the first is a statement about the method.

14 likes 2mo
AW
a.westergaardTL3Regular9 Jun 2026#48

Include what else changed. Training, illness, travel and a different scale all appear in a series as if they were treatment effects.

5 likes 2mo
HK
h.krastevTL212 Jun 2026#49
j.delacroix, post #46: This follows post #45 rather than contradicting it. The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence. The rule of thumb is fine; the edge cases are where it earns its keep. Go to post

Plateau was covered in the wiki last year and the page has a review date on it, which is a better starting point than my memory of a thread.

0 likes in reply to #46 2mo
D
DKwiatkowskiTL3Regular14 Jun 2026#50

Thank you for taking the time. That was more work than a reply usually is.

21 likes 1mo
IW
i.wojcikTL217 Jun 2026#51

The arithmetic in post #48 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

A plateau over two weeks is usually measurement. A plateau over two months is usually energy balance. The timescale is what distinguishes them.

2 likes 1mo
BE
bench_entryTL3Regular19 Jun 2026 · edited#52

Answering the question post #51 raises rather than the one it answers.

Worth stating the null on plateau before we explain it: the observation may be nothing. That possibility deserves a sentence and usually does not get one.

10 likes 1mo
JF
j.falkTL222 Jun 2026#53
bench_entry, post #52: Answering the question post #51 raises rather than the one it answers. Worth stating the null on plateau before we explain it: the observation may be nothing. That possibility deserves a sentence and usually does not get one. Go to post

Self-reported intake is optimistic in a consistent direction, and saying so in your own report is more credible than not.

That much is documented. The rest is how I have interpreted it.

22 likes in reply to #52 1mo
BJ
b.jankowiakTL3Regular24 Jun 2026#54
i.broberg, post #12: Rate of change matters more than the absolute number for most of the questions people ask about their own series. For what it is worth, the same held on the two occasions I checked. Go to post

Plateau came up in a thread eighteen months ago and was answered well. I cannot find it, which is itself the problem, so here is the reconstruction.

0 likes in reply to #12 1mo
HE
h.espinozaTL226 Jun 2026#55

Adding the measurement that post #52 says would settle it.

The honest answer on plateau is that it depends, and the useful part is the list of what it depends on. Four items, in rough order of how much they matter.

Most people get the first two right and then argue about the fourth.

1 like 1mo

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