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Evidence · Preprints · continued

A preprint whose numbers changed substantially at publication posts 61–90

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

EF
endo_fellow_rkTL3Endocrinology fellow21 Sep 2025#61

Answering the question post #59 raises rather than the one it answers.

Reading a preprint properly means doing some of the reviewer's job: methods first, then whether the analysis matches the plan, then the conclusion.

9 likes 10mo
YA
y.adebayoTL222 Sep 2025#62
FConsidine, post #28: Peer review as a filter: published papers have survived a review process that rejects many submissions. Preprints have not. Neither guarantees correctness, but publication history is a difference worth noting. Go to post

The arithmetic in post #59 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

Unrefereed work is not worthless and a great deal of it survives review substantially unchanged. That is the accurate framing and it is not a licence to treat it as final.

2 likes in reply to #28 10mo
MH
ms_hollowayTL4Mass spectrometrist22 Sep 2025#63

If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update.

One of those cases where knowing the mechanism does not help the decision.

0 likes 10mo
MI
m.ibarraTL223 Sep 2025 · edited#64

Peer review as a filter: published papers have survived a review process that rejects many submissions. Preprints have not. Neither guarantees correctness, but publication history is a difference worth noting.

The variance between people here is larger than the effect being discussed.

21 likes 10mo
FN
formulary_notesTL3Regular24 Sep 2025#65

Post #63 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one.

Building anything durable on a preprint means committing to rebuild it. That is a reasonable trade for a fast-moving question and it should be an explicit one.

14 likes 10mo
CA
c.amankwahTL225 Sep 2025#66
dr.villanueva, post #36: Where I part company with post #32, and it is a narrow parting. Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised. Reading it back, the second half matters more… Go to post

Server repositories: medRxiv for medicine, bioRxiv for biology. Preprints on these servers are time-stamped and have DOIs even if they are later published elsewhere. Citing the preprint with its DOI is appropriate while noting it is unpublished.

Adding the caveat now so it does not have to be extracted later.

5 likes in reply to #36 10mo
TH
TL4_HalvorsenTL4Leader · Journal club26 Sep 2025#67
methods_draft, post #22: Confirming post #19 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person. A preprint that has been up for two years without appearing in a journal is telling you something, and it is not necessarily that the work is bad. That has held every time I have looked, which is not the same as always. Go to post

Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier.

That matches what I was told, which is not the same as knowing it.

0 likes in reply to #22 10mo
RE
r.ekstromTL226 Sep 2025#68

Adding a data point of agreement rather than a data point.

29 likes 10mo
NM
n.moreauTL227 Sep 2025 · edited#69
k.pereira, post #60: Where I part company with post #59, and it is a narrow parting. A preprint reporting a null result is more likely to stay a preprint, which biases the published literature and makes preprint servers more valuable rather than less. Go to post

Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised.

This is the version I would want a new member to read first.

3 likes in reply to #60 10mo
PM
p.mbekiTL228 Sep 2025#70

Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight.

I am aware this is the third time this month I have made this point.

0 likes 10mo
SO
sa.okonkwoTL229 Sep 2025#71

Check whether it was later published: searching for the preprint's first author and keywords in PubMed might find a published version. The published version is the stronger citation if it exists.

16 likes 10mo
AW
a.westergaardTL3Regular30 Sep 2025#72

Retractions and corrections do not propagate well from preprint servers. A citation that was fine when made can quietly become wrong.

Genuinely open to being wrong about this one.

31 likes 10mo
MM
m.malinowskiTL230 Sep 2025#73
n.petrov, post #18: If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update. Go to post

The arithmetic in post #70 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

How to cite a preprint: author last name, first initial, et al. Title. Server name [preprint]. Posted date. Doi. Include the server name and note that it is a preprint.

The strength of my opinion here exceeds the strength of my evidence.

1 like in reply to #18 10mo
ML
m.lindqvistTL21 Oct 2025#74
e.iyer, post #35: If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update. Go to post

Answering the question post #72 raises rather than the one it answers.

Unrefereed work is not worthless. A great deal of it survives review substantially unchanged. It is also the case that the version appearing in a journal frequently has different numbers, and the changes are not random — they tend to be in the direction of a smaller effect and a more careful claim.

6 likes in reply to #35 10mo
RR
r.restrepoTL22 Oct 2025 · edited#75

That is a cleaner way of putting what I was circling around.

10 likes 10mo
CC
c.correiaTL23 Oct 2025#76

A preprint that has been up for two years without appearing in a journal is telling you something, and it is not necessarily that the work is bad.

I would rather be precise about what I do not know than vague about what I do.

23 likes 10mo
ME
me.eriksenTL23 Oct 2025#77
e.bakken, post #27: Screening on a preprint server is minimal and is not review. It filters obvious problems and nothing more, which is what it is designed to do. Go to post

Narrowing post #74, because the general version has more than one answer.

Say it is a preprint in the first line rather than the last. Everything downstream depends on that status and readers arriving from search will not scroll for it.

0 likes in reply to #27 10mo
KS
k.salinasTL24 Oct 2025#78
l.dziedzic, post #45: Where numbers change between preprint and published version, the changes are not random. They tend toward a smaller effect and a more carefully hedged claim. Go to post

A preprint reporting a null result is more likely to stay a preprint, which biases the published literature and makes preprint servers more valuable rather than less.

3 likes in reply to #45 10mo
AM
a.molnarTL25 Oct 2025#79

If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update.

Nothing above should be read as advice about what anyone else should do.

6 likes 10mo
I
IbrahimoviTL2Member6 Oct 2025#80

Post #76 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction.

Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised.

The disagreement above is smaller than it looks once the terms are fixed.

16 likes 10mo
BJ
b.jankowiakTL3Regular6 Oct 2025#81

Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight.

It reads as pedantry until the day it does not.

3 likes 10mo
JF
j.falkTL27 Oct 2025#82
e.almeida, post #51: Post #48 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit. Screening on a preprint server is minimal and is not review. It filters obvious problems and nothing more, which is what it is designed to do. Written in the hope of being told what I have missed. Go to post

The arithmetic in post #81 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

Where numbers change between preprint and published version, the changes are not random. They tend toward a smaller effect and a more carefully hedged claim.

0 likes in reply to #51 10mo
BE
bench_entryTL3Regular8 Oct 2025#83

Post #81 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it.

Where a preprint's numbers are the basis of a claim being repeated here, someone should check whether the published version exists yet. That check is nearly always overdue.

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IW
i.wojcikTL29 Oct 2025#84

Version numbers on a preprint server matter. Citing version one of something now on version four is citing a document that has been superseded by its own authors.

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ST
slow_titratorTL29 Oct 2025#85
NK
n.kravchenkoTL210 Oct 2025#86
y.adebayo, post #62: The arithmetic in post #59 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check. Unrefereed work is not worthless and a great deal of it survives review substantially unchanged. That is the accurate framing and it is not a licence to treat it as final. Go to post

Narrowing post #84, because the general version has more than one answer.

A preprint with the data and code attached is frequently more checkable than a published paper without them. Reviewed and reproducible are different properties.

1 like in reply to #62 10mo
YM
y.mensahTL3Wiki editor11 Oct 2025#87

What changes between preprint and publication: authors respond to reviewer comments, re-analyse data, correct errors found in peer review, and sometimes report different results from updated analyses. The published version is not the same as the preprint.

That is my reading. Someone else read the same page differently and was reasonable.

0 likes 10mo
HE
h.espinozaTL212 Oct 2025#88

Bookmarking this. I will come back when I have something worth adding.

23 likes 10mo
ED
e.dalgleishTL3Regular12 Oct 2025#89

I read post #86 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier.

11 likes 10mo
SS
s.salgadoTL213 Oct 2025#90

Check whether it was later published: searching for the preprint's first author and keywords in PubMed might find a published version. The published version is the stronger citation if it exists.

It is worth stating the boring hypothesis before the interesting one.

3 likes 9mo