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Outcomes · Body composition · continued

Ultrasound and skinfolds: operator dependence in practice posts 61–77

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

CH
c.haddadTL216 Jul 2026#61

Post #59 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction.

The most useful protocol is the one you will actually repeat identically. An imperfect measurement repeated consistently beats a better one repeated carelessly.

0 likes 12d
LI
l.ibarraTL2Regular17 Jul 2026#62
customs_ledger, post #49: Everything in post #45 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have. My position on ultrasound and skinfolds is current rather than settled. I have revised it once already and I expect to again, so treat it accordingly. Go to post

Fine by me. I had wanted a stronger conclusion and there is not one available.

32 likes in reply to #49 11d
AK
a.kirchnerTL218 Jul 2026#63
e.mensa, post #36: Post #33 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one. What I want from this ultrasound and skinfolds thread is the list of things that would need to be true for the claim to hold. If we can write that list, we can check it. Go to post

Source for the ultrasound and skinfolds figure, since it was asked for. It is in the discussion rather than the abstract, which is why the version circulating is stronger than the paper is.

Reading the surrounding paragraph is worth the two minutes. The authors are more careful than their summarisers.

11 likes in reply to #36 10d
AD
appeals_deskTL3Regular18 Jul 2026#64

Narrowing post #63, because the general version has more than one answer.

Speaking only to ultrasound and skinfolds as I have actually seen it, rather than as it is usually described: the effect is real, it is smaller than the thread suggests, and the variance between people is larger than the effect.

3 likes 10d
YR
y.rahimiTL219 Jul 2026#65

Worth separating two things that post #63 runs together.

Ultrasound: thickness of subcutaneous fat at specific sites. Less standardised than DXA and operator-dependent. Useful as a supplementary measure but not as a primary method.

Happy to expand any of that if it is the useful part.

0 likes 9d
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preregisteredTL3Research methods19 Jul 2026#66
n.nyberg, post #45: What would change my mind on ultrasound and skinfolds is a second dataset collected by someone with no stake in the first. Until then I hold it loosely and I would rather say so than pretend to more. Go to post

This follows post #63 rather than contradicting it.

The useful distinction on ultrasound and skinfolds is between what was measured and what was inferred from it. Both end up in the same sentence and only one of them has error bars.

24 likes in reply to #45 8d
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r.petrovTL220 Jul 2026#67

Neither method is capable of detecting the month-to-month changes that people report detecting month to month.

7 likes 8d
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retention_indexTL2Analytical chemist21 Jul 2026#68

Two claims get bundled together under ultrasound and skinfolds and they need separating. The descriptive one — this is what was observed — is usually well supported. The causal one — this is why — usually is not.

Almost every disagreement in threads like this one dissolves once you say which of the two you are making.

1 like 7d
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m.adeyemiTL221 Jul 2026#69

Same experience here, different supplier, so it is at least not unique to one of them.

0 likes 7d
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chromatogramTL4Analytical chemist22 Jul 2026#70

Post #67 is the version of this I will quote in future. One addition.

Adding the boring version of ultrasound and skinfolds, because the interesting version keeps getting posted and the boring one is usually right.

Check the ordinary explanations, in order, and stop when one of them accounts for what you are seeing. Most of the time the second one does.

17 likes 6d
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t.pereiraTL223 Jul 2026#71

Percentage body fat is a ratio, so it changes when either component changes. A rising percentage during weight loss is arithmetic before it is physiology.

5 likes 5d
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f.villalobosTL223 Jul 2026#72

On post #68 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

Summarising the ultrasound and skinfolds thread so far, since it is long and the answer is buried: the first reply has the method, the fourth has the correction to it, and the rest is people agreeing at length.

14 likes 5d
VB
v.baptistaTL224 Jul 2026 · edited#73
PharmNotes_Whitfield, post #43: Where I part company with post #41, and it is a narrow parting. Ultrasound and skinfolds is one of those subjects where the general answer and the answer for a specific case diverge, and the thread will go in circles until someone says which one is being asked for. Go to post

What I can speak to on ultrasound and skinfolds is narrow, so I will keep it narrow rather than generalising from it. Beyond that boundary I do not know.

0 likes in reply to #43 4d
BN
bench_notesTL4 Moderator24 Jul 2026#74
g.ibarra, post #60: Ultrasound and skinfolds: I have looked for the primary source twice and failed twice. Either it does not exist or it is somewhere I do not know to look, and I would like to know which. Go to post

The most useful protocol is the one you will actually repeat identically. An imperfect measurement repeated consistently beats a better one repeated carelessly.

0 likes in reply to #60 3d
RF
r.friskTL225 Jul 2026#75

Neither method is capable of detecting the month-to-month changes that people report detecting month to month.

9 likes 3d
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h.ferrariTL226 Jul 2026#76

Adding a reference point for ultrasound and skinfolds. Mine is a single case, collected without controls, and I am posting the method alongside it so it can be discounted appropriately.

20 likes 2d
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e.lehtinenTL226 Jul 2026#77
HRouhani, post #37: The thing about ultrasound and skinfolds that took me longest to accept is that a plausible mechanism is not evidence of an effect. It is a reason to look, not a result. Go to post

That is the distinction I keep failing to hold on to. Written down now.

0 likes in reply to #37 2d

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