On the subject in the title: Where the four-week escalation interval comes from, and what it is not Working notes rather than a conclusion.
Working notes on four-week escalation interval rather than a conclusion. I would rather post the reasoning while it can still be corrected than post the answer once I am committed to it.
Everything below is checkable. Where I have taken a figure from somewhere else I have said where; where I have estimated, I have said that too.