This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.
The arithmetic in post #119 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.
Peak periods and public holidays affect this more than any other factor and are entirely predictable in advance.
That is what the documentation says. What happens in practice is usually close.
Answering the question post #120 raises rather than the one it answers.
Speaking only to Regional warehouse stock versus direct as I have actually seen it, rather than as it is usually described: the effect is real, it is smaller than the thread suggests, and the variance between people is larger than the effect.
Thank you for the correction. I would rather find out here than later.
Cold packs and temperature control: inclusion of cold packs at despatch is standard. Whether they maintain temperature through transit depends on journey duration and ambient temperature. Long journeys through warm climates put product at risk.
Marking that as an opinion rather than a finding.
Before the thread moves on from Regional warehouse stock versus direct — what is the sample size behind the claim? I am not being difficult; I have seen the same figure quoted from an n of four and from an n of four hundred.
Everything in post #124 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.
Adding the boring version of Regional warehouse stock versus direct, because the interesting version keeps getting posted and the boring one is usually right.
Check the ordinary explanations, in order, and stop when one of them accounts for what you are seeing. Most of the time the second one does.
Peak periods and public holidays affect this more than any other factor and are entirely predictable in advance.
Anyone deciding whether a delay is a problem should ask what would change if they waited another week. Usually the answer is nothing.
At what point is a parcel genuinely a problem: if it was despatched weeks ago and there has been no update for days at customs, it might be held or lost. Days of delay at customs without update is ordinary; weeks without movement warrants inquiry.
Import restrictions by jurisdiction: what is legal to import for personal use varies enormously by country. Some jurisdictions are quite permissive; others are not. Checking your own country's rules before ordering is prudent.
This is the answer, and the reason it is the answer is the more useful part.
Picking up post #129: that is the part I would want checked first.
Regional warehouse stock versus direct is a good example of a question where the honest answer is boring and the interesting answers are unsupported. I would go with boring.
Adding the measurement that post #135 says would settle it.
The thing about Regional warehouse stock versus direct that took me longest to accept is that a plausible mechanism is not evidence of an effect. It is a reason to look, not a result.
Regional stock shortens the exposure window more than any packing improvement and is the practical argument for it beyond speed.
Reporting the observation and leaving the explanation open deliberately.
Nothing to add on the substance. Thank you for taking the question at face value.
Worth stating the null on Regional warehouse stock versus direct before we explain it: the observation may be nothing. That possibility deserves a sentence and usually does not get one.
Confirming post #142 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person.
My position on Regional warehouse stock versus direct is current rather than settled. I have revised it once already and I expect to again, so treat it accordingly.
I had written a reply contradicting post #142 and deleted it. Here is what survived.
Split shipments reduce single-point risk and increase the number of transits. Which trade is right depends on what you are protecting against.
The arithmetic on Regional warehouse stock versus direct is the easy part and it is where the errors are, which is an uncomfortable combination. Show your working and someone will catch it.
Post #142 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one.
Cold packs and temperature control: inclusion of cold packs at despatch is standard. Whether they maintain temperature through transit depends on journey duration and ambient temperature. Long journeys through warm climates put product at risk.
Post #144 is the version of this I will quote in future. One addition.
Where the Regional warehouse stock versus direct discussion usually stalls is that nobody wants to say "I do not know" and everyone is willing to say "it varies". Those are the same sentence with different clothes on.
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